Arch Talk.

Everything Arch Capital does is aimed at helping clients in the best possible way by using our expertise and industry experience.

Stop Paying Attention

Stop Paying Attention

Stop Paying Attention Improving our investment behaviour is difficult. Our choices have a messy confluence of influences ranging from the explicit (financial incentives) to the implicit (our own psychological wiring). It is impossible to ever understand precisely why...

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Can economists help investors avoid recession?

Can economists help investors avoid recession?

Can economists help investors avoid recession? How often they accurately predict recession, and how often they’re late to the party. Recessions hurt stocks Since the Kennedy administration, there have been eight recessions in the United States, as determined by the...

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The (In)Accuracy of Market Forecasts

The (In)Accuracy of Market Forecasts

The (In)Accuracy of Market Forecasts A large body of evidence demonstrates that market forecasts from 'gurus' have no value in terms of adding alpha. The financial media tends to focus much of its attention on market forecasts by so-called gurus. They do so because...

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